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Introduction


In order to estimate the direct tangible damage caused by rainwater flooding in urban areas, the economic impact on property and vehicles has been taken into consideration, as these are the most affected assets, according to the data provided by the Insurance Compensation Consortium (CCS - Consorcio de Compensación de Seguros), which is the public body that covers losses generated by extreme climate phenomena, among others.

The assessment of property damage was carried out by following a methodology based on the use of damage curves, which measure damage according to the depth of the flooding. The first step was to transfer the depth of water in surrounding streets to the interiors of the properties (sourced from a hydrodynamic model), based on watertightness coefficients developed for the fourteen uses of land (types of property) in Barcelona, and whether there was a step at the entrance to the property. Secondly, the flooding damage caused to the properties was assessed, using the specific damage curves based on flooding depths inside the buildings, developed for the fourteen types of property. Furthermore, a maximum depth was proposed where there were lower floors, so that when it reached that specified level, there was only water transfer to levels below that. Various types of property were considered: without basement, with basement and with two basement floors. Configurations were also considered with or without car parks, because where there is a car park, the water enters not only from the floor above, but also directly from the street, an aspect which is also taken into consideration through the watertightness coefficient curves. The model is implemented through the use of GIS tools, in order to establish a water depth inside the buildings and calculate the corresponding damage.


Figure 1 Conceptual model for estimating flood damage to urban properties


With regard to assessing damage to vehicles, an innovative methodology has been used, which is also based on the concept of damage curves. The methodology attempts to reduce any uncertainty due to the mobility of the vehicles, proposing a heterogeneous vehicle occupation for various areas of the city, based on information provided by high-resolution aerial photography. The first step is to adapt the damage curves for flooding developed by USACE (U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, 2009) for five types of vehicle, in the case of Barcelona. These curves were turned into a single damage curve weighted according to the percentage of each type of vehicle found in Barcelona, and also taking into consideration their depreciation, according to statistical information for the type of vehicle and average age.

Maps have been obtained for direct tangible damage caused by rainwater floods in urban areas, for both property and vehicles, for the T1, T10 and T100 return periods, and current, future and Adaptation 1 and 2 scenarios , with the calculated value of damage aggregated for each city neighbourhood. In the case of the T1 return period, the damage value is null, and it is therefore not represented in the maps. The damage maps for vehicles are not represented either, as the differences are not very representative in terms of the affected neighbourhoods, and the value of the damage caused to vehicles by flooding are in the order of ten times lower than the damage caused to property.

Risk areas


These maps show the most affected neighbourhoods by property damage are El Raval, El Parc i La Llacuna del Poblenou, Sant Andreu, Sant Antoni, Esquerra de l’Eixample, La Marina del Prat Vermell and Zona Franca, and that future rainfall, exacerbated by climate change, will significantly worsen the situation in various neighbourhoods, mainly in the city centre.

Source: Prepared for this report with data from PDISBA’19 - RESCCUE Project


As future rainfall will be more intense than at present, the value of damage to property and vehicles for the future scenario is, in general, 35% higher than the estimate for the current scenario. This difference indicates the potential cost (in relation to direct tangible damage) of not taking action to combat climate change.


Figure 2. Increased value of damage (in %) to property and vehicles due to the effect of flooding forecast for Barcelona city due to climate change and for the most significant return periods.

Adaptation


In order to assess the effectiveness of the measures introduced to Adaptation Scenarios 1 and 2, we consider the reduction of tangible damage to property and vehicles, which is obtained by comparing the results of these two adaptation scenarios with those obtained for the future scenario with climate change (BAU). Adaptation Scenario 1 (only implementing sustainable urban drainage systems (SUDS) throughout Barcelona) provides a reduction of between 70% and 90% in the value for damage to property and between 20% and 40% in damage to vehicles, while the implementation of SUDS together with structural measures (Adaptation Scenario 2) eliminates practically all of the damage.

Source: Prepared for this report with data from PDISBA’19 - RESCCUE Project


The following associated graphs and tables summarise the obtained results, and the evolution of the assessed damage to property and vehicles in Barcelona city due to urban flooding can be observed for the current, future, Adaptation 1 and Adaptation 2 scenarios and the T10 and T100 return periods.


Figure 3. Value of damage to property and vehicles (in millions of €) due to the effects of flooding in Barcelona for the current, future, Adaptation 1 and Adaptation 2 scenarios and for the most significant return periods.


Figure 4. Reduction in the value of damage (in %) to property and vehicles caused by the effect of flooding in Barcelona, due to the measures implemented in Adaptation Scenarios 1 and 2 for the most significant return periods.

To consult the full study, click HERE.

To consult further information on the project RESCCUE:Visit RESCCUE

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